Frequently Asked Questions

Soonerism is a community-driven platform for tracking and verifying predictions made by UFO/UAP commentators, researchers, and insiders. We provide a transparent system where community members can submit predictions, vote on their outcomes, and track accuracy over time. Our goal is to bring accountability to the disclosure conversation through evidence-based verification.

Any registered user can submit predictions. We encourage community members to document predictions they've heard or read from UFO/UAP commentators. All submissions must include source links (podcast episodes, interviews, social media posts, etc.) and specific target dates or timeframes. This ensures transparency and allows others to verify the accuracy of the submission.

Once a prediction's target date has passed, community members can vote on the outcome. There are three voting options: True (the prediction came to pass as stated), False (the prediction did not occur), or Partial (some elements occurred but not the complete prediction). Voters are encouraged to provide evidence and sources to support their vote. When a prediction reaches our consensus threshold, the outcome is locked in as the community-verified result.

Our consensus mechanism requires a minimum number of votes (typically 10) with a supermajority agreement (typically 70% or higher) to lock in an outcome. This ensures that predictions are verified by multiple community members before becoming part of the permanent record. The specific thresholds may be adjusted over time based on community size and participation patterns.

You can edit predictions you've submitted before voting begins. Once voting starts, predictions are locked to preserve the integrity of the verification process. If you notice an error in a locked prediction, you can contact moderators who can make corrections with appropriate documentation. All edits to locked predictions are logged for transparency.

Navigate to any prediction whose target date has passed, and you'll see voting options displayed prominently. Select your vote (True, False, or Partial) and optionally provide evidence or sources to support your assessment. You can change your vote at any time before the prediction reaches consensus. Your voting activity contributes to your reputation score on the platform.

True: The prediction came to pass as stated. The core claim was accurate and verifiable through public evidence.

False: The prediction did not occur. No credible evidence supports the claim having come true.

Partial: Some elements of the prediction occurred, but not the complete picture. For example, if someone predicted "full disclosure by December 2024" and we only got limited hearings, that would be partial. Use this for nuanced situations where the outcome falls between true and false.

Yes! We strongly encourage voters to provide evidence and sources. When casting your vote, you can add links to news articles, official statements, videos, or other documentation that supports your assessment. High-quality evidence helps the community make informed decisions and strengthens the credibility of the consensus result.

A prediction reaches consensus when it meets two criteria: (1) A minimum number of votes (currently 10), and (2) A supermajority agreement (currently 70%) on one outcome. For example, if 10 people vote and 7 or more vote "False," the prediction locks as False. Once locked, the outcome becomes part of the permanent record and affects the commentator's accuracy statistics.

Commentator accuracy is calculated based on their verified predictions. True predictions count as 100% accurate, Partial as 50%, and False as 0%. The overall accuracy percentage is the average across all their locked predictions. We also display total predictions tracked, number verified, and trends over time. This gives a comprehensive view of a commentator's track record.

You can browse predictions and view statistics without an account, but you need to be registered to submit predictions, vote on outcomes, or participate in discussions. Registration is free and only requires a username and email address. This helps maintain accountability and prevents abuse of the voting system.

Your reputation score is based on your participation quality: well-sourced prediction submissions, thoughtful voting with evidence, helpful comments, and community engagement. Users who consistently provide high-quality contributions earn higher reputation scores. Reputation may unlock additional privileges over time, such as faster moderation response or weighted votes in edge cases.

Member: Standard user who can submit predictions, vote, and comment.
Trusted Member: High-reputation users with proven track record of quality contributions.
Moderator: Community-selected volunteers who enforce guidelines and handle reports.
Admin: Platform maintainers who handle technical issues and system configuration.

Moderators are selected from high-reputation community members who demonstrate good judgment, fairness, and consistent adherence to our guidelines. If you're interested in moderating, focus on building your reputation through quality participation. When moderator positions open up, we'll announce the selection process to the community.

Predictions must be related to UFO/UAP disclosure, sightings, government actions, or related phenomena. They must be verifiable (specific enough to determine true/false), have a clear target date or timeframe, and include proper source attribution. We track predictions from researchers, insiders, commentators, and public figures in the UFO/UAP space.

No. Soonerism is designed for serious accountability tracking. Joke submissions, trolling, or intentionally misleading content will be removed. Our goal is to build a credible historical record, which requires good faith participation. Users who repeatedly submit joke content may face account restrictions.

Yes, as long as they make public predictions about UFO/UAP topics. This includes researchers, podcasters, insiders, journalists, government officials, and anyone else who makes verifiable claims. The platform is agnostic about the source—we care about accountability regardless of who is making predictions. Both skeptics and believers are tracked equally.

Any public source where predictions are made: podcast interviews, YouTube videos, social media posts (Twitter/X, Reddit, etc.), articles, conference presentations, or documentary appearances. The source must be linkable and verifiable. Private conversations, DMs, or unverifiable claims are not acceptable. Always provide the most direct link possible to the original prediction.

Report bugs through the contact form. When reporting bugs, please include: what you were trying to do, what happened instead, your browser/device information, and steps to reproduce the issue. Screenshots are helpful! We try to respond to bug reports within 48 hours.

Absolutely! We welcome feature suggestions from the community. Use our contact form to share your ideas. Describe the feature, explain how it would benefit the community, and we'll review it with our team. Community-driven ideas help shape the platform's future.

Not yet, but it's on our roadmap! We plan to offer a public API for accessing prediction data, statistics, and verification results. This will allow researchers, data analysts, and third-party applications to integrate Soonerism data. If you're interested in API access, let us know through our contact form and we'll keep you updated on development.